dijous, 27 d’abril del 2017

Cataluña, precursores también en populismo y corrupción


López Tena: “No vull formar part de tota aquesta farsa”













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¿Son las cuentas de Trump las del Gran Capitán?




Trump propone reducir las deducciones a los más ricos y recortar los impuestos corporativos y las tasas fiscales personales


Here are the key points of the plan as it was released:


  • Corporate tax rate of 15%: Such a rate would deliver on Trump's campaign promise. The current federal statutory rate is 35%.
  • Allows pass-through rate for business owners: Instead of self-owned businesses being taxed at the personal income rate, business owners would have incomes from operations taxed at the 15% rate. So if you own your own business, income from that business would be taxed at the corporate rate. According to The New York Times, that could apply to the Trump Organization.
  • No border-adjustment tax: The tax on imports was favored by House GOP leaders such as Speaker Paul Ryan and Kevin Brady, the chair of the Ways and Means Committee. Mnuchin said the White House talked to Ryan and Brady but thought the tax did not "work in its current form."
  • A slight adjustment to individual tax rates: White House officials said there would be three tax brackets with rates of 35%, 25%, and 10%, down from the current seven brackets. Cohn told reporters that he did not have the exact incomes associated with the brackets.
  • Doubling of the standard individual tax deduction: This would allow individual filers to deduct their first $12,700 in income from their taxes and $25,400 for joint filers, as opposed to the current $6,350 for individuals and $12,700 for joint filers.
  • A one-time repatriation tax: This would allow companies to bring back money from overseas to the US with a slightly lower, one-time tax. The White House did not clarify the rate at which this money would be taxed. President George Bush enacted a repatriation tax at a 5.25% rate in 2004, but studies show the money brought back mostly went to stock buybacks and dividends rather than hiring workers.
  • Elimination of the estate tax: This would eliminate a tax on assets being transferred through a will.
  • Elimination of itemized tax deductions other than charitable donations and mortgage payments: Mnuchin said this provision would close "loopholes" and offset the decrease in base tax rate for high income Americans.
  • Repeal a 3.8% tax on net investment income: The tax was levied on "individuals, estates and trusts" with higher than a certain threshold in investment income. For instance, the threshold for an individual was $200,000 in investment income last year.
  • Repeal the alternative minimum tax: This tax requires some people who have large numbers of deductions to calculate their income tax under the normal tax rate and the alternative and pay the higher amount. According to the Tax Policy Center, the tax was originally designed to eliminate large deductions by wealthier people, but now applies to about 5 million people.
  • No infrastructure spending: Reports on Tuesday said Trump was considering including infrastructure spending in the plan to try to win over Democrats. Mnuchin denied the report in the speech, saying the proposal would be "just a tax plan."
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La deuda que dejó cada presidente de los EEUU



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Por qué los datos de la EPA no son malos



Esta mañana conocíamos los datos de la EPA 1T 2017 y a vista de titular no reflejan una buena situación del mercado laboral. Error, el mercado laboral no es estático, no es una foto. Al contrario, se debe mirar en perspectiva para poder extraer conclusiones rigurosas.

A primera vista vemos que la tasa de paro ha repuntado hasta el 18’75% desde el 18’63% del último trimestre de 2016. ¿Es una mala señal? No, si miramos los datos disponibles, desde 2002, tan solo en 2005 la tasa de paro descendió en un primer trimestre, cuando cayó hasta 10’17% desde el 10’53% del último trimestre de 2004.

La EPA 1T 2017 ha reflejado lo previsto ya que durante el primer trimestre se vive un “efecto compensación”, es decir, durante los primeros meses del año el mercado laboral depura el empleo creado a final del año anterior vinculado a la Navidad y rebajas distorsionando las cifras del mercado de trabajo. Pero esto, no es síntoma de un deterioro del empleo. Por ejemplo desde 2014 que empezó a recuperarse el empleo, en todos los años (2014, 2015 y 2016) la tasa de paro repuntó en el primer trimestre y no impidió que todos los años se saldaran con un descenso del paro y un aumento de la ocupación. Así pues en el 1T 2014 el paro se situaba en el 25’93% y en el 1T 2017 en el 18’75%, es decir, 7’18 puntos menos. Este descenso se traduce en 1.487.700 ocupados más que al inicio de 2014.
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España crea más de 408.000 empleos en el último año, casi la mitad indefinidos

El paro subió y el empleo bajó en el primer trimestre. Aunque, a primera vista, estos datos pudieran parecer negativos, cabe tener en cuenta que es la tónica habitual que registra el mercado laboral español en los tres primeros meses del año como consecuencia de la estacionalidad -desaparecen buena parte de los contratos temporales firmados para la campaña navideña sin que el tirón de la Semana Santa logre compensarlos-, y, de hecho, una vez eliminado ese efecto coyuntural, la mejora laboral se mantiene.
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