dimecres, 23 de maig del 2018
¿Está muerto el príncipe heredero de Arabia Saudí, Mohammed bin Salman?
La desaparición pública durante semanas del príncipe heredero de Arabia Saudita, Mohammed bin Salman, ha disparado las alarmas, especialmente desde que se escuchó un prolongado tiroteo en el palacio real de Riad en la medianoche del 21 de abril. La ausencia de fotografías de Mike Pompeo con el príncipe heredero durante la visita del Secretario de Estado norteamericano a Arabia Saudita a fines de abril, ha aumentado los temores. Y las recientes detenciones de activistas por los derechos de las mujeres, que no parecen encajar con las reformas impulsadas por Bin Salman, dan la impresión de que se ha producido una involución.
Sea lo que sea lo que le haya sucedido -si es que le ha sucedido algo- a Bin Salman no le faltan enemigos, dentro y fuera de casa. Irán lo odia a muerte y los más poderosos de su país, también (ordenó la detención por corrupción de 380 personas, entre los más ricos de Arabia Saudita) y ha enojado a los clérigos Wahhabitas con sus reformas modernizadoras, especialmente dos: las relativas a la situación de las mujeres (levantando, por ejemplo, la prohibición de conducir) y el acercamiento y colaboración con Israel.
En este contexto, las especulaciones se han disparado. ¿Muerto?¿Enfermo?¿Detenido?¿Escondido? Tal vez, simplemente, descansando en su yate tras su 'agotadora' gira por los Europa y los EEUU.
SPECTATOR.- Has Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman been assassinated, had a breakdown, or gone into hiding? Or is that just wild internet conjecture? I ask only because he has barely been seen in public since prolonged heavy gunfire was heard at the royal palace in Riyadh in the middle of the night on April 21.
Reports of heavy gunfire ongoing near Saudi’s King’s palace in Riyadh. The king has reportedly been evacuated to a bunker at a military base. pic.twitter.com/c6uZefWHXE
At the time Saudi state media dismissed reports on Twitter and elsewhere that the shots were the sound of a coup taking place, insisting instead the semi-automatic gunfire was merely aimed at a recreational drone that had flown too close to the palace walls.
In this age of fake news and heavy Arab media censorship it’s hard to know who to trust, but what seems certain is that the Crown Prince, previously ubiquitous as the international focal point of a cultural revolution in the kingdom, seems suddenly to have vanished.
Social media is ablaze with rumours of the young ruler’s murder. Users are sharing reports of a supposedly secret intelligence dossier that states MBS, as the Crown Prince is known, has been shot twice.
The editor-in-chief of Tehran-based daily Kayhan (unlikely, it must be said, to be an impartial source for Saudi news coverage) has written in an editorial: ‘At least two bullets have hit bin Salman in April 21 clashes in Riyadh and it is even possible that he is dead.’
According to a well-placed source at the British Foreign Office, however, the Crown Prince is alive and well. He was also photographed at the opening of the Qiddiya project, Saudi Arabia’s biggest cultural, sports and entertainment site on April 28.
So the story must be Iranian fake news, mustn’t it? Perhaps to head off talk of assassination, a palace courtier has released a photo of MBS socialising with King Hamad of Bahrain, President Sisi of Egypt and Abu Dhabi ruler Mohammed bin Zayed.
كان في ضيافة فخامة الرئيس المصري عبدالفتاح السيسي قبل أيام. pic.twitter.com/Va3f1b4XVc
But that picture seems a strange way to convince the world MBS is fighting fit. It certainly looks like the man himself, even if a cap is obscuring his eyes. But it’s impossible to verify when the photo of the four men standing by a swimming pool was taken. Surely – given the gravity of the claims – MBS could have recorded a video statement by now? Is he in hiding? Or incapacitated?
Interestingly, when Mike Pompeo visited Saudi Arabia in late April, no photos or video footage of MBS with the US Secretary of State were seen. The State Department did not confirm that a scheduled working dinner with Secretary Pompeo and MBS had in fact taken place, or that the two men had seen each other in Riyadh. The schedule would have been changed if the they had not met, said a spokesperson, somewhat opaquely. The meeting was closed to press. Again, this is odd, given the blazing publicity around MBS over the last year. Has he been sidelined by his elders in the Saudi ruling family?
Whatever has happened to him, MBS is certainly not short of enemies at home. After becoming the nation’s de facto ruler in June, 2017, the 32-year old rounded up 380 or so of Saudi’s richest men in what was billed as a corruption purge. There were unconfirmed reports of torture until the powerful detained men agreed to sign over to the state large portions of their wealth.
MBS has also not shied away from angering powerful Wahhabi clerics as he has sought to begin modernising the kingdom. He has lifted a ban on women driving, for example, and, more shockingly for Saudi conservatives, allowed relations with the long-hated Israel to start to thaw, almost publicly.
Abroad, Iran and other powerful Shia forces throughout the region would rejoice at news of the Crown Prince’s death. Tensions in the Middle East are running particularly high at the moment thanks in no small part to the apparent closeness of MBS to President Trump’s White House.
It could be, of course, that MBS, exhausted after a whistle-stop media tour of Europe and the United States, is actually holed up on a luxury yacht on a long holiday. But it does seem strange that his retreat from public view appears to have come soon after the sound of heavy gunfire at the palace.
UPDATE: Following the publication of this article, the Saudi royal family yesterday permitted the distribution of a photograph https://mobile.twitter.com/ahmed/status/999035183188840448?s=12 of the Crown Prince at a cabinet meeting in Jeddah looking in rude health. All’s well that ends well, then…
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